Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.003918 0.004120 0.004327 0.004556 0.004802 0.005059 0.005347
2025-07-13 0.003568 0.003869 0.004190 0.004560 0.004976 0.005433 0.005972
2025-07-20 0.003392 0.003755 0.004154 0.004629 0.005181 0.005808 0.006579
2025-07-27 0.003195 0.003592 0.004040 0.004585 0.005236 0.005995 0.006959
2025-08-03 0.003040 0.003464 0.003949 0.004553 0.005291 0.006175 0.007327
2025-08-10 0.002905 0.003348 0.003864 0.004517 0.005332 0.006328 0.007663
2025-08-17 0.002845 0.003316 0.003874 0.004593 0.005507 0.006653 0.008227
2025-08-24 0.002747 0.003232 0.003814 0.004576 0.005561 0.006820 0.008592
2025-08-31 0.002652 0.003147 0.003748 0.004544 0.005592 0.006955 0.008915
2025-09-07 0.002553 0.003052 0.003664 0.004485 0.005581 0.007029 0.009154
2025-09-14 0.002460 0.002961 0.003581 0.004422 0.005560 0.007087 0.009369
2025-09-21 0.002405 0.002914 0.003553 0.004429 0.005631 0.007272 0.009775
2025-09-28 0.002290 0.002790 0.003420 0.004292 0.005502 0.007173 0.009759
2025-10-05 0.002240 0.002747 0.003392 0.004296 0.005567 0.007350 0.010168
2025-10-12 0.002217 0.002738 0.003409 0.004360 0.005717 0.007656 0.010790
2025-10-19 0.002155 0.002676 0.003352 0.004319 0.005715 0.007737 0.011062
2025-10-26 0.002101 0.002623 0.003305 0.004290 0.005728 0.007840 0.011373
2025-11-02 0.002049 0.002570 0.003257 0.004257 0.005732 0.007928 0.011664
2025-11-09 0.002036 0.002570 0.003280 0.004327 0.005891 0.008259 0.012382
2025-11-16 0.001994 0.002529 0.003246 0.004311 0.005920 0.008389 0.012762
2025-11-23 0.001950 0.002484 0.003204 0.004282 0.005927 0.008482 0.013083
2025-11-30 0.001899 0.002428 0.003146 0.004227 0.005891 0.008504 0.013277
2025-12-07 0.001850 0.002373 0.003087 0.004169 0.005849 0.008512 0.013444